I
am using the ADP and draft rankings from NFL.Com to compile this list of
players that I believe are absolute steals at their positions. These are
players that I think will outperform their respective rankings and ADP from
NFL.Com.
Ryan Tannehill, QB,
Miami
Tannehill has an ADP of 63 and is ranked as the #8
quarterback in fantasy this year. I really think he will be a top five QB this
year. He has a lot of weapons to get the ball to, the offensive line is
improved from last year, and the running game may be even better than last
year. He is also more of a runner than people realize. Tannehill was very
quietly the ninth highest scoring quarterback last year. He has no excuses to
not perform at a top five level this year. I will jump all over him in the
sixth round of a ten team league’s draft.
Allen Robinson, WR,
Jacksonville
Last year, Allen Robinson was a second round pick by the
Jaguars to help Blake Bortles with his transition into the league. Robinson has
an ADP of 138 in the NFL.Com leagues and ranked as the #48 wide receiver.
Robinson should be going way before the thirteenth round in a standard ten
team. He is better in a PPR because of the limited scoring opportunities he’ll
have in that Jaguars offense, but he should still be going much earlier. He was
peppered with targets from a young Bortles and he should be healthy this year
after missing some time last year. In 10 games last year he was targeted 81
times and hauled in 48 for 548 yards and only two touchdowns. I expect him to
be a top 20 receiver in PPR formats this year.
Jordan Matthews, WR,
Philadelphia
Matthews has been promoted to the top target in a high
powered offense that has produced a top WR in the last few years with Kelly as
head coach. The offense makes anyone starting, an automatic lock to produce
fantasy points. Matthews is a very talented receiver. Last year he was the
second option in the passing game and still had 105 targets that turned into 67
catches, 872 yards, and 8 touchdowns. This year, he should be in the top 10 at
WR in all formats. There is no reason he won’t produce at least at the level of
Jeremy Maclin last year. With an ADP of 43 and a position rank of 16, he may be
the biggest steal of the year.
Chris Ivory, RB, New
York Jets
Chris Ivory is the top runningback on a team that will have
to run the ball to stay in games. It’s very hard to find runningbacks after
round three, so it doesn’t make any sense that Ivory has an ADP of 94. It will
be very easy for Ivory to outperform the 22 runningbacks ranked ahead of him.
He finished as the 19th highest scoring RB last year in standard,
but the passing game should be slightly improved this year and Chan Gailey
should make the offense more potent as a whole. Ivory is a very consistent
player that probably won’t get many 20 point games, but also won’t have many
two pint games either. I expect Ivory to be in the top 15 at least.
Shane Vereen, RB, New
York Giants
Vereen is more of a PPR sleeper than a standard sleeper, but
he could produce well in both. Vereen is coming into a quick passing offense to
be the passing downs back. He should get plenty of carries as well with Rashad
Jennings’ injury history. There is talk of Vereen impressing in New York and
possibly getting more touches than expected. Vereen has an ADP of 142 and is
the 48th ranked RB. I would be shocked if Vereen isn’t in the top 25
in PPR leagues. He should be on everyone’s flier list in the later rounds.
All of these players should be targeted in drafts because
they have potential to outperform ADP and expectations. Next week I will have a
top bust list out that will predict which players will underperform their ADPs.
By: Matthew Acord
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