Thursday, November 19, 2015

Quarter Backs

BUY Tom Brady- In week 2 Tom Brady put up over 400 yards passing and 3 TDs against the Bills in Buffalo. At home facing a Bills Defense that ranks 18th against the pass I expect another good game from Tom Brady. Losing Julian Edelman shouldn’t hurt Brady’s fantasy numbers due to his ability to spread the wealth and get everyone involved in the passing game. Expect Amendola, Gronk, and maybe LaFell to have a good game with Edelman not in the line-up. Brady has 24 passing TDs, 2 rushing TDs, and only 3 ints so far this season. Monday Night at home I am starting him in DFS and season long leagues.

SELL Aaron Rodgers- While Rodgers put up over 20 points in week 10 it was a game that raises concern for not just Rodgers but the entire Packers offense. The Packers inability to run the ball hurt Rodgers as he had to throw 61 times. Greenbay’s O-Line also played poor allowing their QB to be sacked three times. Rodgers had a very bad first 3 quarters only putting up 148 yards and 0 TDs for 5.92pt. Somehow he turned it around and had an amazing 4th quarter with 185 yards and 2TDs for 18.4pt saving anyone who started him. The Packers play on Sunday should have fantasy owners nervous about all Packers players going forward.  In DFS stay away from Rodgers, there are much cheaper and more reliable options. In season leagues he isn’t someone you can afford to sit unless you are deep at QB.

Running Backs

     BUY Lamar Miller- Lamar Miller is averaging 22.93pt/g over the last 3 games, as well as 6rec/g over the last 3. Playing a mediocre Cowboys defense expect Miller to have similar numbers to his week 10 game against the Eagles. The only downside to Miller is he doesn’t normally get majority of his points from running. In week 10 he had 16 carries for 43yds and 6rec for 50yds and a TD for 21pt. In the last 5 games Lamar Miller has 5rush TDs and 2rec TDs. In PPR leagues he’s very appealing. He’s a good cheap RB in DFS, and in season long if he is on your team he should be in your lineup. .       

SELL Marshawn Lynch- When Marshawn Lynch hasn’t been hurt, he has been underperforming. He is only averaging 1 reception a game and has only rushed for over 100yds once. Lynch hasn’t looked like beast mode all year and don’t expect that to change now.  If you’re playing in a PPR league like Draft Kings he should not be in your lineup. In season leagues he’s a flex play at best, unless your other RBs are on byes.

Wide Receivers

      BUY Danny Amendola- With the loss of Edelman, Amendola is the Pats number 1 WR and someone who is worth picking up in season leagues. Brady’s #1 WR is only owned in 22.2% of leagues and in week 10, the first game without Edelman, he had 10rec 79 yds for 17pt. Pick up Amendola while you still can, after this week he may be gone. Having any player in your lineup that catches 10 passes in a game from Tom Brady is an advantage. In DFS I would start him in the flex or as a budget WR. He’s also a good flex play this week in season leagues.

      SELL DeAndre Hopkins- Hopkins could still put up decent numbers but with how little the Texans score and not knowing who the QB will be he’s just too risky of a play. To make things even worse they are playing the Jets who have the 9th pass defense in the NFL. In DFS Hopkins cost too much, $8800 on Draft Kings, and I don’t see his upside this week against a good Jets pass defense. And even in season leagues I’m looking to my bench for someone with more upside.

Tight Ends

 BUY Delanie Walker- Walker has been great lately he is averaging 15.8pt/g over last 5. Walker is the Titans team leader in receiving yards, targets, and catch rate. He has great upside playing Jacksonville who is 21st against the TE, Walker could be in for yet another big game. He’s a good TE for DFS, and if he’s on you season league team start him unless you own Gronkowski or Olsen. 

      SELL Tyler Eifert- Eifert is playing a good Cardinals defense this week on the road, and after a rough loss to the Texans I don’t see Eifert having a very productive game. Eifert had 3 drops against the Texans and ended with 26yds for 5pt, which is very poor coming off a 3 TD for 28pt game. In DFS would start either Walker, Olsen, or Gronk. In season long only start Eifert if you don’t own any of the 3 previously listed TEs.

By: JB La Cross
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